Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 5.140164 5.584889 6.080119 6.678841 7.392072 8.226674 9.296386
2025-01-26 4.727533 5.348519 6.095555 7.085463 8.405622 10.178784 12.894780
2025-02-02 4.595429 5.406430 6.460713 8.004194 10.361168 14.182770 22.034934
2025-02-09 4.311950 5.227165 6.492357 8.509331 12.011188 19.002864 41.090857
2025-02-16 4.022453 4.995296 6.410457 8.842993 13.629430 25.791174 111.107532
2025-02-23 3.746699 4.743610 6.255686 9.030295 15.181354 35.871297 NaN
2025-03-02 3.398420 4.343624 5.807470 8.586158 15.169382 41.877759 NaN
2025-03-09 3.163560 4.088896 5.558099 8.465681 15.977940 56.905167 NaN
2025-03-16 2.901309 3.767226 5.156380 7.954713 15.469809 63.395417 NaN
2025-03-23 2.767200 3.632892 5.056849 8.054053 16.959191 114.364768 NaN
2025-03-30 2.622453 3.468405 4.883711 7.955541 17.799217 223.929012 NaN
2025-04-06 2.477539 3.292145 4.669874 7.720578 18.016161 495.053015 NaN
2025-04-13 2.301649 3.067908 4.373236 7.302779 17.552193 1625.555457 NaN
2025-04-20 2.244258 3.034419 4.426420 7.759183 21.842390 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.240882 3.091630 4.664965 8.827017 34.042263 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.185661 3.054290 4.712130 9.411649 48.943779 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.117913 2.988531 4.691083 9.795496 70.656250 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.044625 2.906443 4.623525 10.006866 103.138063 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.935774 2.751373 4.375864 9.465045 96.861273 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.858226 2.649465 4.238125 9.314064 116.496941 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.762253 2.507999 3.998282 8.704963 96.332940 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.712815 2.450262 3.943589 8.817457 143.709588 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.655438 2.374124 3.838886 8.698336 182.761959 NaN NaN